Thanks for the write-up, but why should it double ?
They had $8,6Mio SBC in 2024 and $9,4Mio in 2025, D&A doesnt overstate capex, theres a bit of IntExp, NOLs are gonna keep the taxrate low for a while, but really your aEBITDA is just employee compensation and other real costs, so I dont see any value there with 13% Revenue growth, operating leverage cant be that extreme unless they cut OpEx.
Im seeing a couple funds entering in Q4 2025, eclipse has reduced their stake from 34% to 27% during that time so still bagholding a lot since IPO, does that play a role here ?
to clarify, I am not expecting a double on the print by no means. If the print and guide is good I will provide my rationale. I just think pessimism has hit a floor here and there are some catalysts for 2q upside
Thanks for the write-up, but why should it double ?
They had $8,6Mio SBC in 2024 and $9,4Mio in 2025, D&A doesnt overstate capex, theres a bit of IntExp, NOLs are gonna keep the taxrate low for a while, but really your aEBITDA is just employee compensation and other real costs, so I dont see any value there with 13% Revenue growth, operating leverage cant be that extreme unless they cut OpEx.
Im seeing a couple funds entering in Q4 2025, eclipse has reduced their stake from 34% to 27% during that time so still bagholding a lot since IPO, does that play a role here ?
to clarify, I am not expecting a double on the print by no means. If the print and guide is good I will provide my rationale. I just think pessimism has hit a floor here and there are some catalysts for 2q upside